Japan
PV technology status and prospects
Ichiro Hashimoto, NEDO, New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization
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General Framework

Fig. 1 - 506 kW PV system installed to the roof of Nishi-Harima Governmental Office Building of the Hyogo Prefecture . The promotion and deployment of photovoltaic (PV) system has been implemented through the foresight for new energy in “The Total Primary Energy Supply Outlook” prepared by the Advisory Committee for Energy. Japan’s target for PV system introduction by FY2010 was revised to 4 820 MW from 5 000 MW in 2001. The Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry has been actively driving forward the promotion measures and policy for research and development for PV systems to achieve the introduction target. “The New Energy Law” established in 1997 also stipulates that national and local governments, energy consumers, energy suppliers and energy equipment manufacturers should take responsibility to introduce and expand this new energy. “The Renewable Portfolio Standard Law,” newly established in 2002, also requires energy suppliers to use a certain percentage of renewable energy.

In addition, the “Law Concerning Promotion Measures to Arrest Global Warming” and “Law for Green Purchase” were enacted.
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National Programme

The Government has implemented R&D, demonstration tests, promotion policies, and law enactment towards the achievement of the targeted introduction capacity of 4 820 MW of PV systems by FY2010. In the field of R&D, technical development for cost reduction of PV systems and technology development for PV promotion and innovative next generation technology has also been realized. Regarding demonstration tests, the following have been continued: a cost reduction demonstration test by standardization of PV systems for industrial use aiming at the introduction and promotion of PV systems for private facilities; a demonstration test for new type of PV systems. As for promotion policy, the Residential PV System Dissemination Programme has been strongly moved forward. In addition, the Government has implemented supporting programmes for the introduction of new energy to local governments and private entrepreneurs.

The budgets for FY2002 of major National PV Programmes are as follows:

  1. Photovoltaic power generation technology research and development (Including Technology development to deploy PV system): 7 300 MJPY
  2. Residential PV system Dissemination Programme: 23 200 MJPY
  3. Field Test Programme for industrial use: 4 500 MJPY
  4. Demonstrative development of centralized grid-connected PV system: 100 MJPY
  5. Financial support for entrepreneurs introducing new energy: 23 620 MJPY
  6. Introduction and promotion of new energy at regional level: 12 700 MJPY
  7. Support for local efforts to develop the vision of new energy use and energy-saving: 1 230 MJPY
  8. Support for local activities for new energy: 140 MJPY
  9. Support for local activities to introduce new energy: 880 MJPY
  10. Support for regional global warming prevention: 470 MJPY The budgets for items 5, 6, 7, 8, 9 and 10 include ones for PV and other new energies.
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Research, Development and Demonstration

The New Sunshine Project established in FY1993 to promote a comprehensive, long-term R&D is now finished, and the new technological programme, the “5-Year Plan for Photovoltaic Power Generation Technology Research and Development (FY2001-FY2005)” which was initiated in FY2001, is based on the results obtained thus far. The programme aims at: early establishing PV technology for the realization of approximately the same generation cost as the electricity rate for household; developing common basic technology necessary for full-scale deployment of PV applications; and developing essential technologies PV cells and PV systems based on the new concept. The development objectives of the programme are classified into the fields as stated above. The programmes in progress are as follows.

The short- and medium-term targets are:

  1. the development of advanced PV cells (thin-film silicon PV cell, thin-film CIS PV cell, InGaP/InGaAs/Ge PV cell and highly efficient polycrystalline PV cell),
  2. the development of technology focused on PV promotion (large area amorphous silicon wafer, thin-film polycrystalline silicon wafer and polycrystalline silicon wafer), and
  3. development of common basic technology necessary for full-scale deployment of PV applications (performance evaluation of PV cell and PV systems, recycle and reuse technologies of PV system).
The long-term target is research and development of innovative next generation technology for PV systems (Cat-CVD process, nano-structure silicon PV cell, dye-sensitized PV cell, spherical crystalline silicon PV cell).
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Demonstration

Fig. 2 - 150 kW PV system installed to the roof and façade of the municipal office of Chiyoda-Cho of the Hiroshima Prefecture. The main demonstration programmes, implemented by the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) in FY2002 are “PV Field Test for Industrial Use” and the “Demonstrative Development of centralized Grid-Connected PV System”, newly started in FY2002.

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Implementation

Fig.3 - 20 kW tank cover-integrated PV system for a water treatment plant of Yokohama-City of the Kanagawa Prefecture. [ Top ]


Industry Status

Fig.4 - Skylight PV system (20 kW) installed in Kansai Gaidai University in the Osaka Prefecture. For several years, the PV industry has been rapidly growing through policies for research and development, measures for promotions and the development of the environment for dissemination by METI and other ministries and agencies. Especially the market for residential PV system has been remarkably growing and playing a role of pulling the PV market in Japan. The annual production of PV cells in Japan increased from 50 MW level in 1998 to a 100 MW level in 2000, and it exceeded 200 MW in 2002. Thus, the range of industries supporting photovoltaic power generation is expanding beyond PV cells and PV systems manufacturers to other industries such as suppliers of feedstock for PV cells, manufacturers of production equipment, manufacturers of PV components and power systems, housing constructors and other manufacturers producing products equipped with PV cells.

In response to these trends, the Japan Photovoltaic Energy Association (JPEA) has announced the promotional scenario, “Self-sustainable PV Industry Vision: the Genesis of PV Industry for Energy and Environment”. It indicates future perspectives and a roadmap of PV promotional means for the next 30 years up to 2030, and has declared that the PV industry would establish a self-sustainable market and evolve to be one of the cornerstones of Japan’s industry. The Vision visualizes that PV market scale will reach 473 billion Yen by 2010, 1 250 billion Yen by 2020 and 2 250 billion Yen by 2030.

Main PV cell manufacturers are Sharp, Kyocera, Mitsubishi Electric, Sanyo Electric, Canon, Kaneka, Matsushita Ecology Systems (former Matsushita Seiko), Mitsubishi Heavy Industry, Showa Shell Sekiyu and MSK. Furthermore, Kobe Steel and Kawasaki Heavy Industries entered into the PV market in cooperation with overseas manufacturers. To correspond to recent increase of worldwide demand for PV cells and PV modules, manufacturers in Japan have been positively expanding their production capacity. Sharp expanded their annual production capacity from 94 MW to 200 MW in 2002 and announced that it would produce PV modules in a plant with 10 MW of annual production capacity in the USA. Kyocera is planning to manufacture PV modules in China. Sanyo Electric is planning to expand its annual production capacity to 100 MW by 2005 and announced a plan to manufacture PV modules, 10 MW/Year in Mexico. Mitsubishi Electric also expanded their annual production capacity from 25 MW to 45 MW and is planning to construct a new plant. Mitsubishi Heavy Industry constructed a plant of amorphous silicon PV cell with 10 MW of annual production capacity and started its operation in 2002, following Kaneka.

As for wafer manufacturers for PV cells, SUMCO Solar expanded their production capacity of poly-crystalline silicon wafer by electromagnetic casting process, as well as M Setek, which expanded production of monocrystalline silicon wafers.

Kawasaki Steel started to produce polycrystalline Si ingot for PV cells with a 40 MW of annual production capacity. Tokuyama is constructing a pilot plant for solar grade silicon.

Furthermore, major housing manufacturers released new models with adapted building-integrated PV systems one after another since they commercialized “the houses equipped with PV system as a standard specification” in 1999. Especially, Sekisui Chemical focuses on the sales of the houses equipped with PV systems as a standard specification. They successfully received orders for 17 500 houses in 2002. In addition to the above-mentioned manufacturers, building material manufacturers produce roofing materials, outer wall materials and sheet glass and commercialize building materials integrated with PV cells. Moreover, some builders start to construct buildings with integrated PV cell as “environmental co-existence” buildings. As previously mentioned, industries from different fields are commercializing products with PV cell, and therefore the range of PV industry is expanding.
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Market Development

The possibility and application area of PV cells and PV systems have been expanding through financial support corresponding to the market scale of PV systems and policies for research and development of PV systems initiated by METI. The initial market development for PV systems has increasingly made progress, in the market sector of private houses, public facilities, industrial facilities, traffic facilities, railroad facilities and commercial buildings. Especially in the housing sector, marketing to new and existing houses is satisfactorily progressing. The market scale of 3-5 kW residential PV systems is expanding to annual sales of 30 000 to 40 000 systems. Leading housing manufacturers are creating new markets for PV systems by developing all-electrified houses equipped with PV systems, and developing housing areas with 50 to 100 houses equipped with PV systems and housing complexes electrified with PV system. Also in the sectors of public facilities, Industrial facilities, commercial facilities and commercial buildings, standardization of PV systems of 10-500 kW scale and the development of novel type PV systems is promoted. The market size for these sectors is estimated to be 500 to 1 000 systems annually. To correspond to the demand of the above-mentioned sectors, PV cell manufacturers and building material makers commercialize highly efficient modules, thin type modules, lightweight modules, triangle modules, trapezoid modules, lighting type modules, colored modules, flexible modules, roofing integrated modules, wall material integrated modules, and bi-facial generation modules which meet user’s needs to improve design and function.

Furthermore, there is a widespread trend that local governments enhance the installation of PV systems to schools, governmental offices, welfare facilities, hospitals, and community centers. Private enterprises are also promoting the application of PV systems to rooftops and roofs of their head office buildings, business offices, factories and warehouses. Some private enterprises are planning to introduce PV systematically to restraints, railway stations, service stations, etc.

Additionally, off-grid non-domestic PV systems without governmental support are actively utilized as commercial power supply sources for telecommunications, traffic signs, telemetering, ventilating fans, and lighting.
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Table 1: The cumulative installed PV power in 4 sub-markets in kWp
Sub-market/ application 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
Off-grid domestic 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550
Off-grid non-domestic 15 260 19 170 23 260 29 360 35 890 44 900 52 300 56 200 61 350
Grid-connected distributed 1 220 2 300 5 130 10 820 20 500 43 100 77 750 149 000 252 7000
Grid-connected centralized 2 370 2 600 2 600 2 900 2 900 2 900 2 900 2 900 2 900
Total 19 000 24 270 31 240 43 380 59 640 91 300 133 400 208 600 317 500
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Future Outlook

With backing for the promotion and deployment of PV systems, publicity activities, promotion measures to arrest global warning, green purchase activities implemented by the Government’s policy, individuals, government offices, local governments and private entrepreneurs have promoted a better understanding of introduction of PV systems. With the growth of the PV market, PV cell manufacturers make an effort to expand their production capacity and to reduce PV system cost. The roofing industry, building material industry, housing industry, construction industry and power source equipment industry are stimulated to enter into the PV market.

These sectors are expected to play an essential role in promoting PV systems as a go-between to the PV industry and end users. Therefore, the PV market, especially for residents, public facilities, commercial buildings and industrial facilities, will be deploying more and more, and is expected to grow to a self-sustaining market in the near future.

Finally, METI decided to continue the Residential PV System Dissemination Programme and plans to establish a new budget for the PV Field Test for New Technologies for the FY2003 budget bill, in place of the PV Field Test for Industrial Use. Thus industries, the government and academics will continue to support the promotion of PV systems. Moreover, the Renewable Portfolio Standard Law will be enforced from April 2003. It is expected to further accelerate the introduction of new energies.
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Further reading about Japan

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